Contents

Capability assessment

Math: Solving hard problems and discovering new mathematics

What AI can do today

AI can now solve math problems, sometimes in hours, that stumped the world’s best mathematicians for decades.

Rate of change

In two years, AI went from playing in teen math contests to cracking decades-old unsolved problems.

In July 2024, Google DeepMind’s best math AI reached silver-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO), the world’s top math contest for students under 20. It solved four of six problems, but it needed two to three days.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest Students get nine hours. In July 2025, AI systems from Google and OpenAI reached gold-medal level, but neither earned a perfect score.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest In July 2026, several AI models scored perfectly, including models anyone can pay to use, at a computing cost of roughly $20 to $50.⁠[2]IMO 2026 — Autonomous AI Model Comparison

Contest problems already have known answers. The bigger change has been on problems nobody had solved. In spring 2026, the best AI systems could crack a small share of lesser-known open problems: one Google DeepMind system solved 9 of the 353 it tried.⁠[3]Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search By September and October 2026, AI systems were claiming solutions to some of the most famous problems in math, including one of the $1 million Millennium Prize Problems, plus hundreds of other open problems in a single release.⁠[4]Navier–Stokes priority controversy⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock New milestones arrived every one to three months.

Two patterns help explain where this is heading. First, the most impressive results come from unreleased models inside AI companies, and publicly available tools have tended to catch up within about a year. In 2025, only experimental AI reached gold at the IMO. In 2026, publicly available models scored perfectly.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest Second, the hard part is shifting from finding answers to checking and understanding them. Many of the new proofs are long and hard to read, and human experts may need months or years to fully confirm them.⁠[6]OpenAI’s blockbuster math proof isn’t what you think it is⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock If the pace holds, a reasonable expectation is that within one to two years, AI will be a routine tool for working out the math behind problems in engineering, physics, and computer science, and that today’s record-setting results will come from tools anyone can buy.

Exhibit 2 of 5 · October 2026 · 4 references

OpenAI’s mass release: one AI model claims progress on 372 open problems at once

Why it matters

Until recently, an AI solving a single famous open problem was major news. Here, one model produced hundreds of claimed results over a few weeks, at a few hours of computing each. Even if some of the papers fail inspection, the hardest part of math is starting to shift from finding proofs to checking and understanding them.

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On October 6, 2026, OpenAI posted 722 math papers written by an unreleased internal AI model to a public page on GitHub, a website for sharing code and files.⁠[9]OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems⁠[10]math OpenAI says the papers cover 372 open problems in math and theoretical computer science, either solving them or making major progress on them.⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock⁠[9]OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems OpenAI linked the model to the one behind the Navier-Stokes proof.⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI It was pointed at about 4,000 open problems, mostly with a single instruction to solve each one.⁠[10]math⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI On average, each result it kept used about as much computing as three hours of thinking by ChatGPT’s most powerful paid tier.⁠[10]math

The claimed results include a proof of the Unique Games Conjecture, a central question in computer science about which problems can be solved approximately, which researchers had worked toward for over two decades. Another paper describes a faster method, in theory, for multiplying large grids of numbers called matrices. It lowers the key measure of speed to 2.25, from a previous record of about 2.37. Matrix multiplication makes up a large share of the world’s computing, including AI, but the new method is not yet faster in practice. Mathematician Steven Strogatz compared the jump to a record-shattering long jump.⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI Other papers describe a way to multiply huge whole numbers slightly faster than a limit many experts thought could not be beaten, and a solution to the Kakeya conjecture in four dimensions (see Dueling proofs).⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock Several papers disprove long-standing conjectures by finding counterexamples.

One paper made progress on the Riemann hypothesis, one of math’s most famous unsolved problems, which is about how prime numbers are spread out.⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI The paper does not prove the full hypothesis, but it proves a weaker version that is strong enough for many uses. Mathematician Alex Kontorovich wrote, “If a human did this, it would be an instant Fields Medal,” referring to math’s highest honor.⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI

Checking all of this will take time.⁠[5]OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock Only 162 of the 722 papers had their main results checked by Lean, a computer program that verifies proofs step by step. Within a day, OpenAI withdrew three papers after a sign error broke one proof and two others that depended on it. It also revised 14 papers to repair their proofs.⁠[9]OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems The release did not include a full solution to any of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems. As of mid-October, mathematician Terence Tao said he had reviewed about 10 of the papers, and the full set had not been checked.

Reactions were mixed. Tao said many of the proofs seemed to introduce clever new ideas. He also said he was frustrated that no human authors were available to answer questions, give talks, or train students, and he worried that years of patient work by graduate students on these problems had been disrupted.⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI One group of mathematicians called the release a show of power rather than scholarship.⁠[9]OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI Others started building on the results right away. Within days, people using publicly available AI coding tools had improved the number-multiplication result further. The day before OpenAI’s release, Anthropic published a result found by its Claude AI and written up by two computer scientists it hired. It gave the first real speedups for two basic computer science problems whose standard methods were widely believed to be the best possible.⁠[11]New Math from OpenAI

Exhibit 3 of 5 · October 2026 · 3 references

Dueling proofs: OpenAI and Anthropic AIs independently overturn a core belief in computer science

Why it matters

AI systems from two different companies found the same answer, on the same day, to a question experts had believed was settled for over 25 years. That suggests this ability is not a fluke at one company. These are also the kinds of results that, when humans achieve them, win the field’s top prizes.

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On October 26, 2026, OpenAI announced three more results from its internal AI models, in math, computer science, and physics.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists

The first is about the Kakeya conjecture, which asks how little space you need to turn a needle so that it points in every direction. It sounds like a puzzle, but it is central to harmonic analysis, the study of how mathematical objects can be built out of waves.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists Progress had been slow, one dimension at a time. A closely related conjecture about waves, called local smoothing, was proposed by Christopher Sogge in 1991 and proved in two dimensions in 2019.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis Hong Wang and Joshua Zahl proved the Kakeya conjecture in three dimensions in 2025, one of the biggest math results of the century so far, and Wang won a Fields Medal in 2026.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis OpenAI says its model proved local smoothing in every dimension at once, which also settles the Kakeya conjecture in every dimension.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists The proof uses a new helper equation that no one had tried before. OpenAI says the model produced the proof on October 18 and a Lean-checked version the next day.

The second result is about the Exponential Time Hypothesis (ETH), proposed in 1999. ETH says that a famous logic puzzle called 3-SAT cannot be solved much faster than by checking an exponentially growing number of possibilities. Most experts treated it as a bedrock rule of computer science.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists A search that Anthropic had its Claude AI run found more than 800 research papers with results that depend on ETH being true. OpenAI’s model found a method for 3-SAT that is slightly faster than ETH allows, which means ETH is false.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis OpenAI says the model found it on October 16 and checked it in Lean the next day.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis Hours after OpenAI’s announcement, Anthropic posted its own disproof of ETH.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists⁠[14]A 2^{o(n)} Time Algorithm for 3-SAT Anthropic said an internal Claude research model found the key method on its own, also on October 16, writing about 14 million tokens with no human input.⁠[14]A 2^{o(n)} Time Algorithm for 3-SAT Russell Impagliazzo and Ramamohan Paturi of the University of California, San Diego, who first proposed ETH, are now leading an independent check of OpenAI’s result with Ryan Williams of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists

The third result is in physics.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists Another Millennium Prize Problem asks whether the math behind the Standard Model of particle physics, called Yang-Mills theory, is sound.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis It has two parts, called “existence” and “mass gap.”⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists OpenAI claimed to prove the existence part.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis The mass gap part remains open. OpenAI has not released this proof. Mathematician Ethan Sussman of Northwestern University, working with Anthropic’s Levent Alpöge, had been using AI to complete an older roadmap toward the same proof and believed they were close. The Advisory Group on Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence (AGMAI), an expert panel OpenAI formed after criticism from mathematicians, has asked OpenAI to release the paper. OpenAI’s model, its instructions to the model, and the amount of computing it used remain private.⁠[13]Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists OpenAI says it is not seeking academic credit.⁠[12]OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis

Exhibit 4 of 5 · May 2026 · 1 reference

AlphaProof Nexus: Google DeepMind’s AI solves open problems, with every step checked by computer

Why it matters

Computer checking tackles the biggest worry about AI math: that it can be confidently wrong. The study also marks a point on the trend line. In May 2026, solving 9 of 353 lesser-known problems was a research milestone. By October, AI systems were claiming hundreds of results, including some of the most famous problems in math.

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A major weakness of AI math has been reliability. AI can write proofs that look right but contain small errors, so experts have to check them carefully. In May 2026, researchers at Google DeepMind described AlphaProof Nexus, a system that pairs Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro AI model with Lean, a program that checks every logical step of a proof. The AI writes a proof attempt, Lean points out errors, the AI fixes them, and the cycle repeats until the proof passes or the AI runs out of attempts.⁠[3]Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search

The researchers ran it on 353 open problems posed by the famous mathematician Paul Erdős and his collaborators. The system solved 9 of them on its own, including two that had been open for 56 years, at a cost of a few hundred dollars per problem. It also proved 44 of 492 open conjectures from the Online Encyclopedia of Integer Sequences (OEIS), a huge online catalog of number patterns. Working alongside mathematicians, it settled a question in algebraic geometry that had been open for about 15 years and helped with research in graph theory, number theory, and quantum optics (the physics of light). In optimization, the math behind many engineering and machine learning methods, it found new settings for an algorithm and proved that the algorithm reaches its answer faster than had been shown before.⁠[3]Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search

Lean also caught the AI’s mistakes. When the AI failed, it often hid the hardest step inside a placeholder, or claimed that a step was a known result from published research when no such result existed.⁠[3]Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search Lean refused to accept these shortcuts.

A simpler version of the system, which just looped between the AI and Lean, also solved all nine Erdős problems, though it cost more on the hardest ones. Versions using smaller AI models solved none. The authors noted that most Erdős problems were still out of reach for their system.⁠[3]Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search

Exhibit 5 of 5 · July 2026 · 3 references

International Mathematical Olympiad 2026: several AI models earn perfect scores

Why it matters

Contest math is not the same as research math, but it is a clear and easy-to-compare yardstick. In two years, AI went from a silver medal after days of effort to perfect scores in a few hours, from tools anyone can use, including a free, downloadable model. Problems that only a handful of the world’s best young mathematicians can fully solve are now within reach of everyday AI products.

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The International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) is the world’s most prestigious math competition for students under 20.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest Over two days, contestants try to solve six extremely hard problems, each worth 7 points, for a top score of 42.⁠[2]IMO 2026 — Autonomous AI Model Comparison⁠[15]International Mathematical Olympiad 2026 (IMO 2026) In July 2026, 666 students competed in Shanghai, and only seven earned a perfect score.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest

After the human contest ended, AI companies were given the same problems. Two Chinese tech companies, Huawei and Xiaohongshu (known in English as RedNote), said their AI models earned perfect scores under the IMO’s official grading process. Xiaohongshu said no human help was allowed during testing.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest

Separately, Deedy Das, an investor at the firm Menlo Ventures, tested models that the public can use.⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest He gave the six problems to each model in a simple setup with no internet access and no hints, then had other AI agents grade the proofs strictly. Three models scored 42 out of 42: Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol, and Kimi K3 from China’s Moonshot AI, an open model anyone can download. Claude Fable 5 was the only one to score perfectly on its first try, at a computing cost of about $51 for all six problems. The other two reached perfect scores after being shown a reviewer’s list of flaws and trying again. Other models and settings scored between 13 and 37. Das’s runs were graded by AI, not by human judges.⁠[2]IMO 2026 — Autonomous AI Model Comparison Anthropic also reported that its Claude Opus 5 model earned a perfect score, with human experts grading one solution per problem.⁠[15]International Mathematical Olympiad 2026 (IMO 2026)

This was a big step up from earlier years. In 2024, Google DeepMind’s AI reached silver-medal level by solving four of six problems over two to three days. In 2025, AI from Google and OpenAI reached gold-medal level with 35 points, but five students outscored them with perfect scores. After his 2026 test, Das wrote, “The frontier of AI has officially moved well past IMO math.”⁠[1]AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest

Scenarios that draw on this capability

Scenario · Assessed 2026-10The broken internet: when AI hacking makes the online world too risky to useAI agents find and use security flaws faster than anyone can fix them, until people can no longer trust what they see or do online.Role of math: AI has overturned beliefs in computer science that experts treated as settled. This plays a smaller role here, discussed under "Wild cards" below.

Jargon explainer

Proof
A step-by-step argument that shows, with complete certainty, that a math statement is true. In math, a claim is not accepted until someone proves it.
Conjecture
A math statement that experts believe is true but that no one has proved yet.
Open problem
A math question that no one has answered yet. Some have stayed open for decades or centuries.
Counterexample
A single example that shows a statement is false. One counterexample is enough to disprove a conjecture.
Millennium Prize Problems
Seven of the hardest unsolved problems in math, chosen by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. Each comes with a $1 million prize.
Fields Medal
The highest honor in mathematics, often compared to a Nobel Prize. It is awarded every four years to mathematicians under 40.
Navier-Stokes equations
The equations that describe how fluids like water and air move. Engineers rely on them to design cars, airplanes, and pipelines, and to predict the weather.
Blow-up (singularity)
When a quantity in an equation, such as the speed of a fluid, suddenly shoots to infinity. It means the equation has stopped describing reality at that point.
Lean
A computer program and language for writing proofs so that a computer can check every single step. If Lean accepts a proof, it is almost certainly correct, as long as the problem itself was written down correctly.
Formalization
Rewriting a proof in a language like Lean so a computer can check it.
AI agent
An AI that does more than answer questions. It takes actions on a computer by itself, such as running programs and writing files, to reach a goal. Companies often run many copies at once, and each copy is called an agent.
Internal (unreleased) model
An AI model that a company uses privately and has not made available to the public.
Open model
An AI model whose files are published so anyone can download it and run it on their own computers.
Token
A small chunk of text, often part of a word, that AI models read and write. The number of tokens is a rough measure of how much an AI “wrote” or “thought.”
Preprint
A research paper shared publicly before it has gone through peer review.
Peer review
The process in which outside experts check a research paper before a journal publishes it.
Algorithm
A step-by-step method for solving a problem, often one that a computer follows.
Exponential time
When the time a method takes doubles (or more) each time the problem gets a little bigger. Problems that need exponential time become impossible to solve in practice very quickly as they grow.
Matrix
A grid of numbers arranged in rows and columns. Multiplying matrices is one of the most common jobs computers do, including inside AI systems.
Riemann hypothesis
A famous unsolved problem, proposed in 1859, about the pattern of prime numbers (numbers like 2, 3, 5, and 7 that can only be divided evenly by 1 and themselves).
Erdős problems
A collection of over 1,000 math problems posed by Paul Erdős, a prolific 20th-century mathematician, and his collaborators. Many are easy to state but very hard to solve.
Theoretical computer science
The branch of computer science that uses math to study what computers can and cannot do, and how fast.
Optimization
The math of finding the best possible choice, such as the lowest cost or the strongest design. It is used throughout engineering and in training AI.
Benchmark
A standard set of tasks used to measure how good an AI is at something.

References

  1. 1AFP (July 23, 2026). "AI catches up with humans to score 100% at top math contest". Tech Xplore. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  2. 2"IMO 2026 — Autonomous AI Model Comparison". GitHub. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  3. 3Tsoukalas, George; Kovsharov, Anton; Shirobokov, Sergey; et al. (May 21, 2026). "Advancing Mathematics Research with AI-Driven Formal Proof Search". arXiv. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  4. 4"Navier–Stokes priority controversy". Wikipedia. November 4, 2026. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  5. 5Howlett, Joseph (October 6, 2026). "OpenAI unleashes hundreds more math results upon a field already in shock". Scientific American. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  6. 6Howlett, Joseph (October 13, 2026). "OpenAI’s blockbuster math proof isn’t what you think it is". Scientific American. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  7. 7"Navier-Stokes Announcement". Clay Mathematics Institute. September 11, 2026. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  8. 8Kavas, Hande Naz (September 24, 2026). "Mathematicians still checking the Navier-Stokes proof that OpenAI claims to have solved". The Tufts Daily. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  9. 9Gallegos, Alicia (October 8, 2026). "OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems". Retraction Watch. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  10. 10"math". GitHub. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  11. 11Mowshowitz, Zvi (October 9, 2026). "New Math from OpenAI". LessWrong. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  12. 12Constantin, Ana Maria (October 26, 2026). "OpenAI says its AI model has disproved the Exponential Time Hypothesis". The Next Web. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  13. 13Howlett, Joseph; Hall, Peter (October 27, 2026). "Dueling proofs from OpenAI and Anthropic astound scientists". Scientific American. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  14. 14"A 2^{o(n)} Time Algorithm for 3-SAT". Hexagon. October 27, 2026. Retrieved November 5, 2026.
  15. 15"International Mathematical Olympiad 2026 (IMO 2026)". BenchLM. Retrieved November 5, 2026.

Further reading